MYGA + Bitcoin Rider Simulator

A single-premium guaranteed account with a Bitcoin-linked upside rider. Illustrative build — every number here traces to the MYGA + BTCX build spec.

Premium & term

Single premium (USD)
Guaranteed crediting ratei
%
Term (years)i
7 yearsFixed
Min 1% · Max 3%

BTCX election structure

Guaranteed at maturity$1.02MTIRR 0.3%
Guaranteed + BTCX (25th)$1.63MTIRR 7.2% (1.6×)
MYGA / BTCX split95 / 5rate 1.0%
Surrender valueheld to maturity

Guaranteed value curve

$1.71M$1.51M$1.32M$1.12M$924K
Guaranteed value curve
$1.00M
$1.03M
$1.07M
$1.13M
$1.20M
$1.30M
$1.44M
$1.63M
Y0Y1Y2Y3Y4Y5Y6Y7
BTC scenario
YearGuaranteed + BTCX (25th)Account valueSurrender valueiDeath benefit + BTCXBTCX value (25th)
Y0$1,000,000$950,000$875,000$1,000,000$50,000
Y1$1,031,025$959,500$901,250$1,031,025$71,525
Y2$1,071,412$969,095$928,288$1,071,412$102,317
Y3$1,125,150$978,786$956,136$1,125,150$146,364
Y4$1,197,948$988,574$984,820$1,197,948$209,374
Y5$1,297,969$998,460$1,014,365$1,313,875$299,510
Y6$1,436,893$1,008,444$1,044,796$1,473,245$428,449
Y7$1,631,425$1,018,529$1,076,140$1,689,036$612,897
BTCX value is illustrative: only the year-7 maturity figure comes from the historical 25th-percentile multiple. Intermediate years assume smooth compound growth to that endpoint (net of the rider fee) — real Bitcoin paths are far more volatile. It is kept out of the chart above so its smaller values don't distort the guaranteed-side proportions.

Illustrated upside range

Guaranteed (BTCX pays zero)$1.02M · TIRR 0.3%
10th percentile$1.47M · TIRR 5.6%
20th percentile$1.57M · TIRR 6.7%
25th percentile · featured$1.63M · TIRR 7.2%
40th percentile$1.82M · TIRR 8.9%
50th percentile$2.09M · TIRR 11.1%
60th percentile$2.85M · TIRR 16.1%
↑ premium $1.00M.

Competitor comparison

MetricMeanwhileHSBC (HSIC/LPS)Manulife HK (PA)Sun Life HK (RF)
Day-1 cash value (% of premium)87.5%83.0%83.0%80.0%
Year-1 commission10.0%9.0%8.5%6.0%
Break-even, guaranteed (years)5 yr8 yr9 yr5 yr
Break-even, illustrated (years)2 yr2 yr3 yr3 yr
Year-7 TIRR, guaranteed0.3%n/an/an/a
Year-7 TIRR, illustrated5.6%–7.2%4.6%4.8%4.9%
Competitor figures are unconfirmed internal reference data (spec §11), each carrier’s lowest premium tier. Meanwhile’s day-1 cash value and guaranteed break-even depend on the nonforfeiture backstop, an open legal question (spec §6.7). Year-1 commission is 10.0% of the single premium. Illustrated break-even uses the selected BTC scenario.